Skilled Trades Shortage in BC: 2026 Data and Projections

BC Labour Market 2026

Skilled Trades Shortage in BC: 2026 Data and Projections

Is there still a skilled trades shortage in BC in 2026?

Not in the way there was in 2024. The market shifted. In the ICBA's December 2025 survey of more than 400 BC contractors, the number one concern was securing new projects at 46 percent. Declining margins came second at 42 percent. People shortages dropped to third at 39 percent.

Compare that to the start of 2025, when 72 percent of BC contractors reported severe labour shortages. In under a year, the conversation flipped from "we can't find workers" to "we can't find work."

Jordan Bateman, ICBA's vice-president of communications and advocacy, put it plainly: contractors are now receiving outstanding resumes from laid-off workers — the kind of experienced people who were impossible to land a year earlier. When good tradespeople are on the market, you are no longer in an acute shortage.

Why did the BC labour shortage ease?

Demand cooled faster than supply. The slowdown is the cause, not a sudden flood of new tradespeople.

Housing starts tell part of it. BC starts fell roughly 18 percent year over year, dropping from about 42,200 units to around 34,500. Fewer starts mean fewer crews needed at the same time. Provincial GDP growth sat near 1.1 percent, slow enough to take the pressure off hiring across the board.

Cost pressure did the rest. Steel and aluminum tariffs running at 25 to 30 percent pushed material prices up, while bid prices could not keep pace. Construction input prices rose about 3.6 percent year over year, but bid prices rose only about 2.7 percent. That gap is the margin squeeze contractors are feeling, and it makes every contractor cautious about adding fixed headcount.

So the shortage did not get solved. Projects got scarcer, layoffs followed, and experienced workers came back onto the market. That is a demand correction, and demand corrections reverse.

The shortage did not get solved.
Projects got scarcer.

What does the trades shortage look like by 2034?

The structural deficit is real and it is demographic. You cannot bid your way out of retirements.

BuildForce Canada projects that about 43,800 BC construction workers — roughly 23 percent of the current workforce — will retire over the forecast period to 2034. To keep pace with that and with expansion, the province needs to recruit around 60,100 workers. Local recruitment is expected to bring in about 37,400 workers under age 30, which helps but does not close the gap.

22,700
projected worker deficit by 2034. BuildForce Canada, April 2025. This number does not depend on the current slowdown — it depends on how many people leave the trades and how many enter.

This is the part contractors miss during a soft year. When work returns — and major projects plus renewed residential activity are expected to pull demand back up through the decade — the experienced people available today will not be available then. They will be retired or already committed.

What does this mean for construction project margins right now?

Today the game is margins and schedule, not headcount. The data backs that up. With securing work and protecting margins ranking ahead of labour, the contractors who win in 2026 are the ones who deliver on budget and on time.

Schedule risk is where margin quietly disappears. Industry tracking shows the large majority of projects run late, with overruns frequently averaging well above a third of original timelines, and workforce gaps remain a leading cause of those delays. A crew that is short two people on a critical week does not just slow the job. It triggers penalties, idles other trades, and burns the margin you already bid thin.

That is the case for leasing skilled labour instead of carrying it. When you lease a crew, you scale to the exact size of the work in front of you. You protect your margin in a tight-bid market because you are not paying for bench time between projects. You protect your schedule because you fill the gap on the week you need it filled.

Blue Anvil workers are full-time Blue Anvil employees, not temps. That distinction matters on site. You get tradespeople who are invested, accountable, and managed — with the payroll, benefits, and WorkSafeBC liability carried by us. You get the flexibility of leased labour with the reliability of a committed employee.

How should BC contractors plan for both?

Run two clocks at once. One for the margin game today, one for the talent pipeline tomorrow.

For today, keep your fixed costs lean and your crews right-sized to the work you have actually secured. In a market where 46 percent of contractors are worried about winning the next job, carrying idle headcount is how good companies bleed out. Lease the crews you need for the projects you have, and stop paying for the projects you hope to land.

For tomorrow, build the bench before you need it. The 22,700-worker deficit is coming whether or not 2026 stays soft. The contractors who develop apprentices and lock in reliable skilled labour relationships now will have crews ready when demand snaps back. The ones who treat 2026 as proof that labour is solved will be scrambling in 2028.

Blue Anvil is built for both clocks. Right now, lease full-time crews to hold your margins and your schedule without the carrying cost. For the long game, partner with us on the apprentice pipeline so you have skilled people coming up behind the retirements. Margins now. Talent pipeline for the long game.

22,700
Projected Worker Deficit 2034
43,800
Retirements Expected by 2034
60,100
Workers BC Needs to Recruit

Frequently asked questions

Is there a skilled trades shortage in BC in 2026?

The acute shortage eased. In the ICBA's December 2025 survey, securing new projects (46%) and declining margins (42%) ranked ahead of people shortages (39%) — a reversal from early 2025 when 72% of contractors reported severe labour shortages. The short-term pressure is on winning work and protecting margins, not on finding people.

How many construction workers will BC need by 2034?

BuildForce Canada projects BC needs to recruit about 60,100 construction workers through 2034, largely to replace roughly 43,800 expected retirements. Even after local recruitment, the province could face a deficit of 22,700 workers by 2034 unless recruitment increases (BuildForce Canada, April 2025).

Why did the BC construction labour market soften?

Demand fell faster than supply. BC housing starts dropped about 18%, GDP growth slowed to near 1.1%, and tariff-driven material costs squeezed margins. Fewer projects led to layoffs, which put experienced tradespeople back on the market. It is a demand correction, not a permanent fix to the shortage.

Is it better to lease skilled labour or hire full-time right now?

In a tight-bid market, leasing protects margins because you scale crews to the work you have actually secured instead of carrying bench time. Blue Anvil places full-time employees, not temps, so you get accountable, managed tradespeople with payroll and WorkSafeBC liability handled — sized to your project.

How can BC contractors prepare for the 2034 labour deficit?

Run two plans at once. Keep crews lean and right-sized for today's margin pressure, and build the talent bench now through apprenticeship and reliable labour partnerships. The 22,700-worker deficit is demographic and will arrive regardless of the current slowdown, so the relationships built today determine who has crews when demand returns.

Sources

  • ICBA 2026 Construction Survey, December 2025 — constructconnect.com
  • ICBA News Release: Contractors Now Scrambling for Work, Not Workers — icba.ca
  • BuildForce Canada: Construction demands show signs of slowing in BC, April 2025 — buildforce.ca
  • BuildForce Canada BC 2025–2034 forecast via On-Site Magazine — on-sitemag.com

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